examinent la littérature empirique sur les déterminants du prix et concluent qu'«il existe une interaction complexe entre les émissions BAU, les quantités d'abattement et les prix des permis», c'est-à-dire que notre compréhension de ces déterminants est limitée Par exemple Koch et al. (2014) estiment que les fondamentaux du marché n, 2016. ,
, Quand de telles imperfections sont présentes, des prix bas peuvent avoir une incidence né
Tout d'abord, si les agents ont des horizons de temps tronqués et que les permis sont relativement plus abondants aujourd'hui qu'ils ne le seront à l'avenir, les prix ne reflètent pas la rareté à long terme des permis et sont plus bas qu'ils ne devraient l'être, l'attention, à savoir un horizon temporel limité, une actualisation excessive et l'incertitude règlementaire, 2012. ,
, Bredin & Parsons (2016) ont trouvé que l'EUETS est en contango depuis 2008, c'est-à-dire que les prix des contrats à terme ont été supérieurs aux prix de cost and carry avec des convenience yilds negatifs significatifs
fournissent un appui 21 Au niveau d'une firme, le banking à au taux sans risque est limité aux stratégies de couverture. Au-delà, des primes peuvent être appliquées car les opérations de banking sont considérées comme spéculatives. Au niveau institutionnel, le banking peut être limité par des holding limits, Troisièmement, les risques règlementaires associés aux éventuels ajustements du plafond, qu'ils soient à la hausse ou à la baisse, pèsent sur la formation des prix. 22 Salant (2016) les agents sont rationnels, vol.23, p.24, 2016. ,
, Zélande est attribuable à l'annonce que la règle de conformité '2 tonnes pour 1 permis' sera supprimée. De même, la pression à la baisse sur les prix au sein des pilotes chinois résulte de l'incertitude règlementaire quant à la transition vers un marché national, notamment en ce qui concerne la valeur des permis des pilotes sur le marché national. Les prix du RGGI ont augmenté lorsque un réduction de 45% du plafond a été discutée
2016) s'appuie sur son analyse du 'peso problem' et du prix de l'or dans les années 70 qui n'était pas en accord avec à l'hypothèse d'agents rationnels et neutres au risque, 1978. ,
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