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Les conséquences internationales de l'évolution démographique de la fédération de Russie (1991-2012)

Abstract : This thesis aims to analyse Russia’s international relations through its demographics. The choice is justified by the scale of socio-political changes in the country since the end of USSR and by the seriousness of the Russian demographic situation since 1991. The country is facing a lasting demographic decline and the regional demographic disparity has been accentuated. The question becomes therefore a major political issue. This demographic decline has impacts on the territory, the economy and the army, redefining thus the Russian power. International relations theories show the complexity of the connection between demographics and international relations of a State. The demographic factor seems less integrated by leaders but it offers further analysis that puts Russian foreign policy rhetoric into perspective. The demographic criteria could have a larger influence on Russia’s international issues. It offers also opportunities. Demography plays an ambiguous role in Moscow’s Chinese and Asian policies. The Russian demographic decline has had an impact on the redefinition of the relations between Russia and CIS countries. Migration ties with Russia are the result of a demographic interdependence that becomes an economic and then political one. The demographic reality in the post-Soviet area favours a soft power based policy for Moscow in Central Asia, especially in Kazakhstan. The Russia demographic reality has contributed to a shift within Russian foreign policy and a change of position for Russia in the world.
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Submitted on : Wednesday, May 31, 2017 - 2:36:08 PM
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Pierre Messiaen. Les conséquences internationales de l'évolution démographique de la fédération de Russie (1991-2012). Science politique. Université Sorbonne Paris Cité, 2016. Français. ⟨NNT : 2016USPCF021⟩. ⟨tel-01529851⟩



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