Construction, analyse et implémentation d'un modèle de prévision. Déploiement sous forme d'un système de prévision chez un opérateur européen du transport et de la logistique.

Abstract : This thesis shows for innovation purposes, the private sector can use academic knowledge. Indeed, a partnership between a university and a professional merchandise transportation business has forwarded responses to industrial issues through the application of advanced mathematics. This thesis is about the development, implementation and setting up of an activity forecasting system for planning and resource enhancement. It also offers a mathematical model for the merchandise flow that passes in transit through express parcel docks. To better understand industrial issues, the industrial context of this work is set forth. A thought process on how to best approach the issue of setting up a forecasting system in a firm is then presented. A synthesis of the existing production means of forecasting information is carried out in the firm. Using the information gathered, a methodology to integrate, analyse and forecast economic indicators is set forth. This methodology is successfully applied in the STEF-TFE group, a French leader in cold logistic. To plan the necessary recourses to deal with the forecasted activity, research was carried out on modelling the flow of goods in transit on a express parcel dock. The result of this thesis is that in 2010, 70 transportation agencies of the STEF-TFE group will have access to forecasts of the activity. Furthermore, the methodology set forth here is likely to be used in various industrial domains.
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Wilfried Despagne. Construction, analyse et implémentation d'un modèle de prévision. Déploiement sous forme d'un système de prévision chez un opérateur européen du transport et de la logistique.. Mathématiques [math]. Université Européenne de Bretagne, 2010. Français. ⟨tel-00487327⟩

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