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Apport des méthodes probabilistes aux études d'intégration des énergies renouvelables aux systèmes électriques

Abstract : Renewable energy sources (RES) - especially wind and photovoltaic energy - have the particular feature of being variable and the controllability of their production is very limited. For these reasons, deterministic methods applied to RES' impact studies are inappropriate. The goal of this research work is to investigate the contribution of probabilistic methods for integration studies of RES in power systems. The management of parameters' variations impacts on power systems brings up new challenges to system operators. The first step is the probabilistic modeling of the power system which is the first part of our work. The second step is the development of probabilistic methods which mix a probabilistic characterization of the power system with a probabilistic model of RES production to estimate defined reliability criteria as well as probabilistic security criteria such as risk of congestion, risk of voltage level violations ect. A probabilistic study is thus a risk analysis study, unlike a deterministic study which consists in the failure analysis of few specific situations. Practical applications are presented and contributions of the proposed probabilistic methods are discussed.
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Submitted on : Thursday, January 14, 2010 - 2:00:43 PM
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Herman Bayem. Apport des méthodes probabilistes aux études d'intégration des énergies renouvelables aux systèmes électriques. Energie électrique. Université Paris Sud - Paris XI, 2009. Français. ⟨tel-00447151⟩

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