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Boom pétrolier et risque d'un syndrome hollandais au Tchad : une approche par la modélisation en équilibre général calculable

Abstract : The concept of Dutch disease is not a new concept but it always remains of topicality because the oil expansion in a developing country produces perverse effects in the economy of the country which results in the contraction of the sectors producing exchangeable goods apart from the sector into boom and the development of sectors producing non-exchangeable goods.
This thesis proposes in the light of economic theories, to analyze the impact that the oil exploitation in Chad will have on its economy under the problems of the Dutch disease.
Despite several tergiversations, Chad ended up exploiting its oil by implementing a structural framework for the management of the oil incomes although constantly violated. The country is the victim of its lack of experience and organization in the oil sector because the benefit drawn during the construction period of oil infrastructures is weak for the national economy.
Furthermore, the project put into place to alleviate the perverse effects of the oil production in the oil area didn't have the expected results considering the complexity of the rural environment and the lack of knowledge in the functioning system.
The model of computable general balance gauged on the data of the matrix of social accounting of Chad for 2000, showed that there will be a contraction of the manufacturing sector, a growth in buildings and services sectors, a development of a consumption society but not of production resulting in the increase of the importation, and a rural-urban migratory movement
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Submitted on : Friday, September 5, 2008 - 9:57:50 AM
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  • HAL Id : tel-00318804, version 1



Ndoumtara Nakoumde. Boom pétrolier et risque d'un syndrome hollandais au Tchad : une approche par la modélisation en équilibre général calculable. Sciences de l'Homme et Société. Université d'Auvergne, 2007. Français. ⟨tel-00318804⟩



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